Month: September 2019

What’s the Big Deal with Vaccines?

If you’re anti-vaccinations, especially if you have children, you’re helping to spread diseases and even reinstate some of them that science has, through a lot of hard work and brilliance, basically eradicated decades ago. You’re ignorant, anti-scientific, and superstitious. Vaccines are basically harmless. The alleged link between vaccines and autism has been debunked by dozens of studies.

…Or so the prevailing wisdom goes. Even smart people usually believe this, mostly because other smart people believe it. And because smart people tend to side with the establishment. But I think those who side with the establishment on this probably know very little about vaccines.

Yes, the first part of the above is true: vaccines do help to prevent certain diseases. But the question is, at what cost?

Here are some facts about vaccines:

  • The vaccine industry is the only industry whose corporations can’t be sued. This means there is no liability, and therefore no incentive to be safe. And since a corporation is a fundamentally amoral entity whose sole purpose is to make as much money as possible, they’re not going to try very hard to make vaccines safe just out of the goodness of their hearts.

    (Yes, there is the Federal Vaccine Court, but the companies don’t even defend themselves there; the Department of Justice (DOJ) acts as the defense. And the money they pay out doesn’t come from the companies’ pockets, it comes from patient fees (a $0.75 tax on every childhood vaccine administered in the US), so the Federal Vaccine Court doesn’t actually effect any liability. And, though this isn’t directly relevant to the main point, it’s worth mentioning that Lawyer Rolf Hazlehurst told congress in a briefing for a hearing on the subject, “If I did to a criminal in a court of law what the United States Department of Justice did to vaccine-injured children, I would be disbarred, and I would be facing criminal charges.” The hearing was shortly cancelled.)
  • Vaccine companies are exempt from safety-testing their products. Only some of them do safety tests. Some details of those tests follow.
    • The polio vaccine’s safety test only monitored subjects for 48 hours.
    • The hepatitis vaccine’s test only monitored subjects for 5 days. The hepatitis vaccine is given to every child.
    • MMR has no safety testing listed on its insert, so Robert Kennedy Jr. and Del Bigtree sued The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) for the information. They gave it to them. Some of that information follows:
      • They only tested on 800 kids. Normally you’d have at least 20,000 subjects.
      • The testing lasted only 42 days.
      • 50% of the kids involved in the study had serious gastro-intestinal illnesses during the study, some of them for the full 42 days.
      • 50% of them had respiratory illnesses, some of them for the full 42 days.
  • A few decades ago, the developmental diseases ADD, ADHD, language delays, speech delays, tics, Tourette Syndrome, ASD, and autism; the auto-immune disorders Guillan-Barre, multiple sclerosis, juvenile diabetes, and rheumatoid arthritis; and the anaphylactic diseases food allergies, rhinitis, asthma, and eczema all exploded in popularity. Congress then ordered the EPA to find out in what year the explosions of all those diseases started. The EPA found that they all soared in 1989. It so happens that in 1989 they changed the vaccine schedule, raised the levels of aluminum and mercury in vaccines by 300% to 500%, and went from 3 different vaccines to 72. If you were born before 1989, your chances of having a chronic illness are 12.8% according to the HHS. If you were born after 1989, your chances are 54%.
  • Each of the four companies that produce the 72 now-mandated vaccines is a convicted felon.
  • Since 2009 those four companies have collectively paid $35,000,000,000 in criminal penalties and damages and fines for defrauding regulators, falsifying science, bribing doctors, lying to the public, and killing many people.
  • Merck sold a drug as a headache medicine that they knew could cause heart attacks and kept that information a secret. The medicine killed somewhere between 120,000 and 500,000 people. Should we expect they’d be any more scrupulous with vaccines, where there’s no liability?
  • Everyone is bought; the various regulatory agencies might as well be appendages of the industry, so they can’t be trusted when they say vaccines are safe.
    • The FDA, which is supposed to protect us against these products, receives 75% of its budget from big pharma.
    • The WHO receives 50% of its budget from pharma. 
    • The CDC is a pharmaceutical company.  It buys and sells vaccines for about $5,000,000,000 / year.
    • Individuals within HHS who worked on vaccines (at taxpayers’ expense) are allowed to get royalty payments on those vaccines. For example, there are high-level people at HHS who are making money on every vile of Gardasil that’s sold, totaling $150,000 / year. And HHS owns part of that patent and is collecting money every year.
    • So is National Institutes of Health (NIH).
  • The pharmaceutical companies are the biggest lobbyists on capitol hill. There are many more pharma lobbyists than congressmen and senators combined. They give double to lobbying what oil and gas give combined.
  • Congress named the Institute of Medicine as the ultimate authority on the safety of vaccines. The Institute of Medicine says there are 150 diseases that they think are caused by vaccines. In 1994 the CDC was directed to study them. They refused. They directed them again in 1998. They refused. And the same again in 2011.
  • Over 1,000 independent studies, not funded by pharmaceutical companies, show vaccines to be harmful.
  • Half of all children now have a chronic illness. In the U.S. we’ve never been sicker.
  • The government’s own top expert vaccine court witness, world-renowned pediatric neurologist Dr. Andrew Zimmerman, took aside the DOJ lawyers he had been working for defending vaccines and told them that he’d discovered “exceptions in which vaccines could cause autism.” “I explained that in a subset of children…vaccine-induced fever and immune stimulation…did cause regressive [brain disease] with features of autism spectrum disorder”, he said. That was on a Friday, and over the weekend the DOJ called him and told him his services would no longer be needed. They then proceeded to misrepresent Zimmerman’s views on vaccines, saying on record, “We know [Dr. Zimmerman’s] views on the issue… there is no scientific basis for a connection between vaccines and autism”, which Dr. Zimmerman says is “highly misleading” (source).
  • Congress members say they face pressure, bullying, or threats when they raise vaccine-safety questions (source).
  • Multiple CDC officials claim they were told to destroy documents (source). Here are a couple of excerpts from an EcoWatch article:

Thomas Frieden, the director of the Center for Disease Control (CDC), has blocked CDC whistleblower, Dr. William Thompson, from testifying on scientific fraud and destruction of evidence by senior CDC officials in critical vaccine safety studies regarding the causative relationship between childhood vaccines and autism.

[…snip…]

In August 2014, Dr. Thompson revealed that the data underlying CDC’s principle vaccine safety studies demonstrated a causal link between vaccines and autism or autism symptoms, despite CDC’s claims to the contrary. According to Thompson, based upon interpretation of the data, “There is biologic plausibility right now to say that thimerosal causes autism-like features.” Dr. Thompson invoked federal whistleblower protection in August 2014.

Dr. William Thompson is listed as author or co-author on the principal studies—Thompson, et al. 2007, Price, et al. 2010, Destefano, et al. 2004—most widely cited to “debunk” the link between autism and vaccines. Thompson said that his bosses, including the CDC’s Immunization Safety Office Branch Chief Frank Destefano, specifically ordered him and three other CDC scientists to destroy data demonstrating vaccine induced autism in CDC’s seminal 2004 study—Destefano, et al. 2004. The data unexpectedly showed a 250 percent increase in autism among young black males who received the vaccine on time—before their third birthday—compared to those who waited until after their third birthday. The data also showed a significant link between the vaccine and isolated autism (autism in normally developing children with no other medical problems), the kind suffered by Yates Hazlehurst, who is mentioned below. According to Thompson, Destefano called his four co-authors into a room and ordered them to dump the damning datasets into a giant garbage can. The published study omitted those data sets. That study, now cited in 91 subsequent papers on PubMed as proof of vaccine safety, is the principle foundation stone of the theology that vaccines don’t cause autism.

Vaccines proponents don’t argue for peer review, they argue from authority. They say vaccines are safe because the CDC and WHO say they’re safe. But as we’ve seen above, the CDC and WHO can’t necessarily be trusted.

Another factor influencing public opinion on vaccines is the media, who are also influenced by vaccine-industry private interests.

  • Multiple networks have reported that 80,000 people died of flu last year. The CDC says 2,300 people died of the flu.
  • Networks say 1 in 1,000 people die of measles. The CDC says it’s 1 in 10,000 and 1 in 500,000 Americans.
  • NBC had Lester Holt on showing a frightening picture of a baby supposedly afflicted with measles bumps. It turns out the picture was faked. Lester Holt is sponsored by Merck, the company that makes the vaccine for measles. Merck is whipping up a frenzy in the media to make us terrified of measles, which is the first disease we think of when we think of the enterprise of vaccines.

One author, whose name escapes me, proposes that society in a state of collective PTSD over the horrors of past widespread diseases, and I think that’s why people react so viscerally, intensely and unthinkingly when it comes to vaccines and “shutting down” anti-vaxxers.

But please, if we can’t deal with the thought of a resurgence of these past diseases, we could at least stop the social short-circuiting of the process of making the vaccines so that a little bit of safety and accountability is added, lest the top .01% continue to take advantage of us in one of the biggest ways—not only through the unregulated production and sales of mandatory vaccines, but also indirectly through providing medications for all the chronic diseases that result from those vaccines, in a double-whammy that adversely affects our very health which is central to our well-being.

Short of that, and, I would prefer, even in addition to that, we could make all vaccines non-mandatory and give parents proper advice regarding the risks of those vaccines. Forcing-by-law or otherwise coercing people to have chemicals injected into their bodies is extremely and unacceptably intrusive. We should have a right over our own bodies. Where is the Roe-v.-Wade for vaccines?

Speaking of properly informing patients about vaccines, according to this doctor and owner of his own clinic (with a degree in Business Administration and 15 years of degrees in Child Development), allowing patients informed consent about vaccines causes doctors and businesses to lose money, because 1) they lose 15 minutes explaining risks, benefits, etc. to the patient, and 2) they lose the revenue from the administration of the vaccines in the patients that decide against the vaccines.

This doctor used to be a staunch supporter of vaccines, then noticed some things about his patients and researched a lot and changed his mind. Now it’s the policy of his clinic not to make everyone take vaccines. He calculated the revenue for each vaccine that he gives and for each vaccine that the patients chose not to receive on that day, and the result was that he was losing $700,000 / year—and that’s just as a pediatrician, not as the clinic owner. Now his losses are significantly higher—about twice as high—because they can’t get a favorable contract with an insurance company because their vaccination rates are so low.

So the monetary incentive to issue vaccines goes all the way down to the doctors, and that’s another area of the system that could use a little bit of improving..

And last but not least, here are some videos and articles worth watching/reading, as I didn’t cover everything in this essay:

And a couple more..

Addendum: Here’s part of an interesting conversation I had with a friend who believes that vaccines cause autism:

Him: Basically you have to show them that the government and medical authorities and ‘scientific’ organisations are all corrupt. That’s like showing a Catholic how corrupt the church is

Me: what’s their motivation to be corrupt?
their incentive / how they make money or whatever

Him: Basically ppl are super skeptical of other people’s ideologies and authorities but super naive (by choice) about their own
The incentives are the old ones – money and power and avoiding pain and loss
The RFK Jr article you linked gives a good example

Me: sure but why do they get money or power or avoid pain or loss by incorrectly concluding that vaccines don’t cause autism

Him: Because it’s a trillion dollar liability and no one would ever trust them (the government and its medical authorities) ever again
They’d all have to admit they have been tragically wrong and lose everything
They’d have to admit to destroying the brains of millions of children
Hardly anyone has the psychological integrity to do that

Me: the people who do the studies aren’t the same people who sell the vaccines, though.. no?

The studies were done by CDC
They create the vaccine schedule
And they profit from vaccines
And they spend more money on vaccine propaganda than on safety research
There is a revolving door between CDC and pharma
It’s called regulatory capture
The regulators (eg CDC) are sock puppets for the industry they are supposed to regulate
And the government doesn’t want to admit it has poisoned its population and damaged millions of children
And then pay out a trillion dollars
It would be the worst public relations disaster in history
No one would ever trust governments or doctors ever again

Obviously the whole vaccine program would grind to a halt worldwide
As millions of parents refused to vaccinate
Costing pharma billions
And making scientistics (most ppl) consider the collapse of civilisation
Because they would be terrified of epidemics of every ‘vaccine-preventable’ disease
The stock market would prob crash

Pharma and prob some government agencies would insist it’s all a lie and pit out disinformation
And most ppl, including most doctors and scientists, would prob refuse to believe it
The studies that proved causal association would not be published
(Pharma owns the journals)
And every possible means would be employed to criticise the studies and demonise their authors

And even if all if this magically didn’t happen and the injured were compensated to the tune of a trillion dollars, that money wouldn’t come from pharma but from you – the taxpayer
So the ppl would foot the bill

Autism cases have risen manyfold in the past few years, and something has to have caused it. I’ve seen graphs of frequency of vaccine administration against frequency of autism diagnoses where they coincide too closely for it to be coincidence within reasonable doubt. Yes, correlation isn’t always causation, but it’s enough to raise suspicions, especially given the contents of some of the links above.

Here’s an example of such a graph:

No, We’re Not Living In a Simulation

Technologistic thinking is trendy among intellectuals, but it’s wholly a cultural artifact, and technologistic thinking is responsible for the idea that we may be living in a simulation.

The theory goes that there are likely a plethora of civilizations out there with technology advanced enough to simulate countless artificial universes for whatever purposes, and that therefore, since there are many simulated universes in existence and only one real universe, the chances are much greater that we’re in a simulated one.

The reason for said likelihood is that the universe is known to be an unfathomably large place, with probably around 700,000,000,000,000,000,000 exoplanets in the observable part of the universe alone, so it’s exceedingly likely that some of those planets have just the right conditions for life to evolve like Earth does, and out of those on which life evolved, at least some of them probably evolved an intelligent species, and out of those intelligent species, some have probably developed technological civilization. The number of civilizations likely in the universe is even (very tentatively) estimated by the Drake equation.

Our technological revolution started only about a couple hundred years ago, and our technology has advanced explosively since then, so, theoretically, it’s likely that most technological civilizations have been around for much longer and their technology is much more advanced.

But I’d argue that the plethora of more advanced civilization out there don’t rely on very sophisticated technology, extreme processing or the extreme energy use that goes with it. (For the same reason, I’d argue that Dyson spheres aren’t and never will really be a thing, and neither is the Kardashev scale of technological advancement.)

We’re currently in a highly technological phase of cultural development, and, naturally, we project our current culture onto other beings we imagine to exist elsewhere (including not only our technologism but also our barbarism, which is why we have the ill-founded fear being taken over by an alien civilization), so we believe that advancing as a species involves creating more and more advanced and complex technology indefinitely.

This is not the case. More-highly advanced species, if they ever go through a highly technological phase, eventually realize that it doesn’t truly serve them.

The very reason we look so hopefully into the technological future is that we’re not happy or content now, and the reason we’re not happy and content now is that we’re immersed in industry and technology.

A Native American chief whose name I don’t remember (I can’t find the reference) said that white men appeared “mad,” like we’re always frantically looking for something that’s either somewhere else or in the future, instead of just being at peace with ourselves in the here and now.

Here’s an excerpt from a Cracked.com article on the founding of America:

Settlers defecting to join native society was so common that it became a major issue for colonial leaders — think the modern immigration debate, except with all the white people risking their lives to get out of American society. According to Loewen, “Europeans were always trying to stop the outflow. Hernando De Soto had to post guards to keep his men and women from defecting to Native societies.” Pilgrims were so scared of Indian influence that they outlawed the wearing of long hair.

Ben Franklin noted that, “No European who has tasted Savage Life can afterwards bear to live in our societies.”  While “always bet on black” might have been sound financial advice by the time Wesley Snipes offered it, Ben Franklin knew that for much of American history, it was equally advisable to bet on red.

Franklin wasn’t pointing this out as a critique of the settlers who defected — he believed that Indian societies provided greater opportunities for happiness than European cultures — and he wasn’t the only Founding Father who thought settlers could learn a thing or two from them.

So, if the Native Americans, a tribal society living practically in the state of nature, were happier than white men, what does that say for all of our vastly superior technology and domestication?

The difference between our society and a much more advanced society is that we have yet to figure out that proliferation of complex technology is not a measure of success. An interesting and intelligent blog on the subject of civilization versus pre-civilization can be found here.

The trajectory of a successful society is not toward more and more expenditure of resources, but rather remaining in harmony with nature while spiritually evolving to the point where there is no conflict.

But since most of the above is just, like, my opinion, man, here are two more-analytical arguments against the idea that we’re living in a simulation:

  • If the universe were a simulation, it could house no consciousness, so there would be no conscious beings such as you and me in that universe to wonder if it’s a simulation. This is because an algorithm can’t be conscious, as I showed with two separate arguments in my previous essay.

    Incidentally, a simulated universe would be useless to a technologically super-advanced civilization because it could not properly simulate intelligent beings and societies general intelligence requires consciousness, as argued in my previous essay. It probably couldn’t properly simulate anything in the universe since consciousness pervades the universe, but that’s just, like, my opinion, man (though I did argue in my previous essay that quantum randomness must be the liaison between consciousness and the mechanics of the brain, and quantum randomness does pervade the universe).
  • The idea of a universe outside ours (and probably much bigger than ours, in order to have a computer big enough to simulate ours and many other universes) clearly violates Occam’s razor, at least in the absence of some damn good evidence for it, which we don’t have.

So, embrace and embody the essence of “touching grass” with regard to your general approach to reality, rather than confining yourself to some bubble of technologistic, eggheaded, ivory tower, autism-esque thinking. Read between the lines of nature and be receptive to the magic around you and in the air you breathe. The universe is not a program. It’s directly Nature itself, just as it appears to be, in all its magic and glory.

I’ve written a Quora answer addressing this same question, which can be found here –https://myriachromat.wordpress.com/2023/12/17/on-simulation-theory/, which may convey some points better than this essay does.

On the Possibility of Artificial General Intelligence

Digital Vs. Analog; Virtual Vs. Physical

Most consideration of the possibility of AGI is on its implementation on digital computers. This from the outset poses major inherent limitations. The logic of computer programming, even in the magical self-modifying Lisp, is still mainly about yesses and noes, ons and offs. Either do this, or don’t do this. A calculation here, a conditional loop there.. Minds, on the other hand, aren’t constrained to binary paths. A computer language can be very dynamic, but it’s still just a hierarchy of discrete, modularized functions. This is essentially different from a mind; building intelligence with a programming language is therefore like building a living body with parts from Sears.

Of course, you could try building AGI by simulating a brain, and the above problem wouldn’t apply, at least not in the same way. But some fundamental limitations of computers would still apply. You have the limitation in how precisely you can simulate, for example, a voltage level and perform calculations on it. You have the fact that you’re reducing complete neuron cells with many organelles and trillions of atoms in each organelle to simple calculations. We may abstract an effective approximation to the workings of a neuron as a computable function, but it’s still only that: an approximation. An actual brain’s operation is the “laws” of physics. It is the universe’s operation itself, the brain being a physical thing. Any simulation thereof is once removed.

And that’s to say nothing of how much of physics we actually know and how much of what we know is possible to simulate. Consider the difference between a real live protein folding and the folding@home and rosetta@home projects. A single protein is microscopic and folds in nanoseconds. To simulate the same would take 30 years on a single PC. The time ratio is about 86 quadrillion to one, and that’s only for a single, microscopic piece of matter. And even that 30-year result isn’t 100% accurate—it’s just a likely result. In a simulation, the simulating machine is actually physical, but the mechanisms by which the thing is simulated are in strict limitation; it’s virtual. For example, for the purposes of simulation in a binary computer, it’s all just ons and offs. If the electrical voltage input into a logic gate in the course of an operation happens to be +4v instead of +5v, it makes no difference. Details and slight variations in the operation of the physical system don’t have any effect on the algorithm being run on it on the functional level of consideration.

A simulation, no matter how precise, being virtual and once-removed over physics, is not necessarily isomorphic to the physical process being simulated, whose detail is unlimited and whose principles of operation are no less profound, deep and dynamic than the functioning of the universe itself.

We don’t know fully know what physics are involved in producing intelligence, and we don’t even fully “laws” of physics themselves. Of particular importance, we don’t know everything about electricity. (Take, for example, ball lightning, or the Biefield-Brown effect.) And we don’t know whether quantum-random behavior can have macroscopic effects within the brain. It has been postulated that the brain operates “on the edge of chaos,” which would mean that, as in any chaotic system, it’s dynamic enough that tiny causes regularly have major/macroscopic effects, which should include the supposedly absolutely random actions of quantum mechanics. Maybe these actions aren’t actually “absolutely random,” and maybe they’re in some way coordinated in the brain.

Quantum Mechanics and the Brain

Just writing off unpredictable quantum behavior as “absolutely random” is too easy (and not to mention epistemologically/metaphysically troublesome). Our methods of prediction/creating models of prediction, and hence gaining any kind of insight into nature, have many constraints and presuppositions about them that could prevent us from finding meaning in quantum-random behavior. Such constraints and presuppositions include linearity in time, a forward direction of cause and effect, nearness in place and time (with exceptions where the nature of the cause-effect relationships over long distances and times is relatively simple, such as in a=GM/d2 or Δt=Δd/c), measurability by existing physical instruments, exclusively mathematical and mechanistic relationships, categorical consistency on some level, functional/black-box-like separability between objects, and simple enough/easily intuited/general enough patterns of causal relationship. Some of those properties are necessary for it to be causality as such, and some aren’t. None of those things are necessary for the actions to be meaningful yet non-mechanistic.

So,­ quantum-mechanical randomness could have meaning, and its effects could be a factor in cognition; and if both of those are true, then we must first understand the fundamental meaning of quantum randomness in order to simulate, or recreate, cognition. Of course, if quantum “randomness” is meaningful yet non-mechanistic, then it’s impossible to simulate with computers, in which case simulating it is not an option but recreating it (by making something new that works similarly to a physical brain) may be.

Quantum-random actions could be where a soul, spirit, incorporeal mind, or otherwise non-physical intelligence comes into play in the arena of physical actions. Of course, people of a certain popular mindset would take issue with that idea. One person I mentioned this idea to characterized it as “god of the gaps” perspective, as if quantum randomness is merely the last frontier in an arena of what will be an ultimate, overarching physical explanation of all of reality. But I look at it in a different way. There was never any reason to assume that science’s arm is all-reaching, or potentially so, in the first place.

When Newton discovered the laws of motion, gravity, etc., everyone was shocked by how much of reality we could predict or explain which had been hitherto and otherwise unexplainable, perhaps even magical. Then when mankind discovered atoms it was assumed that, all the way down to the level of atoms, things behaved completely predictably in the manner of “billiard-ball physics”. Thought about the world had gone from one extreme to the other, from a world full of mystery and magic to one assumed to be completely mechanical and predictable, if only given enough data as input.

And now that we’ve discovered quantum randomness, quantum-random behavior is presumed to be just the last remaining gap in an essentially all-pervasive paradigm of mechanistic predictability. But given that we never have been able to predict everything, it’s just a presumption. Things aren’t automatically accounted for until proven otherwise; they’re living and magical until proven accountable under a mechanistic, totalitarian paradigm. It’s no coincidence that a Gaussian probability distribution, which is what characterizes quantum-random actions, is just what you get when there is an untold number of influences at play.

So, if quantum randomness actually plays a role in cognition, then computational solutions, such as emulating the quantum randomness with a pseudo-random number generator, won’t adequately simulate the quantum-random influences in the brain. A quantum random number generator probably won’t be adequate either, because it’ll sample from one place many times, in a functionalized way rather, than from many places continuously in a way that’s inextricable from the mechanics of the neurons. The brain probably would have evolved to take advantage of whatever’s behind quantum-random events (such as a cosmic intelligence, for example) in a way that’s specific to the brain’s particular physical configuration.

Physical Brain-Analogues

Of course, you could create a machine unlike a digital computer, whose operation is actually much like the brain’s operation, and it might even exhibit intelligence, but in that case, it wouldn’t be artificial intelligence. It would exhibit intelligence for the same reason a real brain does. It wouldn’t be a simulation, and it would be conscious. Calling it artificial intelligence would be tantamount to calling it artificial intelligence when we clone a sheep in the lab.

Exactly how much a physical system can differ from a brain and in what ways while still facilitating consciousness is a fascinating question. Since brains are the only example of recognizable conscious expression we have, it’s unknown how generalizable the underlying principles behind its facilitation of consciousness are and in what ways. Knowing the answer to this would lead to important insight into the nature of consciousness. And into developing truly intelligent “machines,” but that would be an ethical nightmare. We wouldn’t necessarily be able to know the quality of life of those machines, and even if it’s not terrible, they’d most likely be enslaved to do our biddings.

Consciousness Is Necessary for Intelligence

It seems inescapable that consciousness is an absolutely necessary element for any truly effective general intelligence. If you introspect and observe your own process while thinking, you’ll see that it’s inextricably tied with consciousness/awareness, and the role of consciousness/awareness can’t be understood and broken down into a straightforward series of steps/manipulations. You use your spark of awareness in a holistic/singular way to magically pull solutions and concepts out of thin air or to know how to connect various concepts synergistically into a novel solution or greater concept.

And consciousness is scientifically, rationally, and in any other way, really, unaccounted for and is inherently mysterious. Of course, physicalists believe that consciousness arises from brain processes and may assume that eventually the progression of neuroscience will reveal how this happens, but I give arguments for why this is infeasible in this essay: https://philosophy.inhahe.com/2018/04/13/notes-on-science-scientism-mysticism-religion-logic-physicalism-skepticism-etc/#Emergent, and there’s also the problem of the “philosophical zombie” thought experiment that I didn’t include in that essay.

My take on the subject is that consciousness is magical in the truest sense of the word, is fundamentally non-mechanistic, and likely is intrinsically connected with, and hence draws from, the entire cosmos. Either way, the fact alone that consciousness can’t be emergent from brain processes implies that it’s non-physical and thus can’t be replicated by an algorithm, including artificial neural nets or any other simulations of brain matter.

A Neural Network Can’t Be Conscious

A software engineer and former acquaintance of mine, Tanasije Gjorgoski, wrote a reductio-ad-absurdum thought experiment showing why a neural network can’t be conscious. The argument is as follows (with minor modifications):

Let’s say that the system is composed of “digital” neurons, where each of them is connected to other neurons. Each of the neurons has inputs and outputs. The outputs of each neuron are connected to inputs of other neurons, or go outside of the neural network. Additionally, some neurons have inputs that come from outside of the neural network.

Let’s suppose additionally this system is conscious for a certain amount of time (e.g. two minutes), so we will do reductio ad absurdum later. We are measuring each neuron activity (input and output signals of the neuron) for those two minutes in which the system is conscious. We store those inputs and outputs as functions of time. After we got that all, we have enough information to replay what was happening in the neural network by:

  • Resetting each neuron internal state to the starting state and replaying it with the inputs which come from outside of the neural net, using the inputs which came from inside the neural net at that time as the starting state. As the function is deterministic, everything will come out again as it was the first time. Would this system be conscious?
  • Resetting each neuron internal state to starting state, then disconnecting all the neurons from each other and replaying the saved inputs to each of them. Each of the neurons would calculate the outputs it did, but as nobody would “read them”, they would serve no function in the functioning of the system, so actually they wouldn’t matter! Would this system be conscious too?
  • Shutting down the calculations in each neuron (as they are not important as seen in the second scenario—because the outputs of each neuron are is not important for functioning of the system while we replay). We would give the inputs to each of the “dead” neurons (and probably we would wonder what we are doing). Would this system be conscious?
  • As the input we would be giving to each of the neurons actually doesn’t matter, we would just shut down the whole neural net, and read the numbers aloud. Would this system be conscious? Which system?

He wrote another, longer version of this argument here and some more general articles about consciousness here.

Obviously, human beings (as well as other animals) are conscious, and brains are instrumental to this consciousness in some way, but this argument shows that the consciousness isn’t actually in the neural network. If it’s not in the neural network, then simulating a neural network computationally (and hence deterministically) won’t produce consciousness. If consciousness is crucial to intelligence (which I’ve tried to show that it is), then simulating a neural network can’t produce general intelligence.

Actually, let’s make a similar argument to Tanasije’s but applying specifically to AI.

1. Take each individual calculation/opcode execution and separate them across a long span of time. Is the resulting “system” conscious?
2. Remove the computation element and just have a sequence of register and/or memory states. Is the resultant information conscious? What part actually matters?
3. Take the register and/or memory states, and maybe even the internal CPU/GPU states composing each individual computation, and encode them in etchings on a marble wall. Is the resulting state of affairs conscious?
4. Instead of etching the encodings into marble, encode them into patterns of water droplets in random places spread over many clouds. Is the resulting data conscious?
5. Just interpret whatever informational patterns that already exist in the water droplets spread over many clouds as the information contained in an AI according to whatever ad hoc encoding is necessary to do that, since the particular method of encoding is arbitrary anyway… are the clouds conscious?

(Maybe the clouds are conscious, but probably not for the reason that they can be arbitrarily interpreted as encoding the digital information of an AI…)

You might argue at this point that brains obviously are conscious, since we humans are conscious and our consciousness is apparently seated in our brains, and that therefore Tansije’s original argument is invalid, and therefore my adaptation of it to AI must be invalid for the same fundamental reason (whatever that reason may be), but my position is that Tansije’s reductio ad absurdum is a strong enough argument to prevail, and that therefore consciousness is not seated in the brain but rather the brain merely “channels” it in some way.

To this you might argue that AGI could equally “channel” consciousness, but I’d argue that there’s no way for this to happen because its processes/transformation of state is completely algorithmically determined, so even if it is somehow conscious, that consciousness can’t inform its so-called “thinking.”

You could then argue that adding a TRNG (True Random Number Generator) to its processes could potentially make it conscious (supposing that consciousness imbues all true randomness, or at least that a conscious being would choose to possess the AI), but to that I’d say that such randomness is too indirectly causally related to the actual material/algorithmic processes instead of being intimately coupled with them as they are in a brain. It would require consciousness to play pinball, metaphorically speaking, with its own materially embodied mind. That’s too much rocket science to expect of consciousness, especially when the calculative aspect of intelligence seems to be a product of material processes rather than being a function of consciousness itself.

An Algorithm Can’t Be Conscious

Algorithms and computations are essentially series of many small instructions. There is no essential, significant difference between an algorithm running, say, Pac-Man and one simulating a brain or otherwise attempting to manifest artificial general intelligence. The only differences are details of which instructions are executed when. An if/then branch here, a multiplication there, etc. It makes no sense that a lot of simple, separate instructions added together in a series could somehow magically create experience/self-awareness/consciousness/life. (Though similarly, a collection of non-living pieces of material interacting with each other, as in a neural network, should not be able to give rise to the singular phenomenon of experience. I wrote more about that here.

Any entities that a digital simulation simulates are wholly abstract, and therefore they only “exist” insofar as conscious beings outside the simulation imagine them in response to contemplating the simulation. What really exists are series of mostly separate executions of computer opcodes, only a few of which exist at any one particular time.

Consciousness is not abstract, it’s real, as revealed to us phenomenologically, and experience also tells us that it’s singular, so it can’t be made up of a series of mostly disconnected digital commands over time. If consciousness were merely abstract, there could be no real being to experience it—or, perhaps more concisely said, we know consciousness is real because we directly experience it—and, if consciousness weren’t singular, we couldn’t experience an entire thought at one time.

Another argument against the possibility of an algorithm producing consciousness is Searle’s Chinese Room thought experiment. Basically, it goes like this: Take a computer running an algorithm that simulates or produces general intelligence (in this particular thought experiment its task is to convincingly converse in Chinese with a human). Is the system conscious? Now, instead of having a computer execute the algorithm, have an English-only-speaking person execute it, using a sufficient amount of pencils, papers, and filing cabinets. Obviously, the English person doesn’t understand the conversation he’s engaged in and if the system is conscious because it’s “intelligent” then that consciousness has nothing to do with his own. So where is it? Is the room itself conscious? Is some abstract consideration of the timeline of his actions somehow conscious? No alternative seems reasonable.

If the serial execution of a particular set of instructions can give rise to consciousness just because it’s programmed to act in a way that mimics understanding, then why can’t any system/series of events give rise to consciousness just by virtue of being itself? There’s nothing in the Chinese-room situation to logically differentiate the system being programmed to appear to understand from its being programmed to actually understand. You could argue that it’s not truly understanding because it only follows syntax rules without any knowledge of the words’ semantics, but I uphold that understanding, according to common understanding of the term, is something only conscious, living things can do, as we know something else understands by relating to our own understanding, which is fundamentally conscious, and calling any other activity “understanding” is an over-generalization and misuse of the term. And the same applies the term “intelligence.” Therefore, we’re effectively saying that the mere mimicry of understanding gives rise to consciousness, and what’s so significant about the mere mimicry of understanding that it can give rise to consciousness while, say, running a Pac-Man game can’t? Or even a non-digital system such as a tropical storm or a sewing machine? Or, say, at least some other kind of mimicking system, such as a computer that renders a CGI scene, or a movie theater that displays actors talking to each other on a screen?

In Conclusion…

To recap,

  • Traditional computer programs work too differently and simply from how minds do to recreate general intelligence
  • A simulated neural network can’t fully embody physical processes
    • Precision is limited
    • We don’t fully know the “laws” of physics, even regarding electricity
    • A simulated neural network is virtual, once-removed over reality
  • An algorithm, including a simulated neural network, can’t be conscious
    • Gjorgoski’s argument that a neural network can’t be conscious (if neural networks aren’t conscious then simulated neural networks certainly aren’t conscious)
    • My own adaption of Gjorgoski’s argument applied to AI, resulting in the reductio ad absurdum that even clouds are conscious
    • Consciousness is real, as it’s directly experienced, while any object or process simulated in a digital simulation is merely abstract, as it’s merely a series of mostly disconnected computer instructions that don’t even exist at the same time
    • Searle’s argument that an algorithm can’t be conscious
  • Consciousness can’t be an emergent property (link to part of another essay; see also the p-zombie thought experiment
  • Consciousness/mind can’t be an illusion (part of the other essay following the above part, not directly linked to or mentioned elsewhere in this essay but probably should be)
  • Consciousness is necessary for general intelligence
  • Quantum mechanics has to be the liaison between consciousness/the seat of intelligence (whatever and wherever it is) and the brain’s mechanics
  • Mind/consciousness itself is non-mechanistic (not sure if I mentioned this. I write more about this subject here: )
  • Quantum randomness, therefore, isn’t “absolutely random” and can’t be adequately simulated
  • The only way to recreate general intelligence, therefore, is with a physical system that’s analogous to the brain, and that’s not “artificial” intelligence, it’s real intelligence. Doing so would be unethical, of course.

In conclusion, artificial general intelligence is nothing more than a faddy, technologistic pipe dream.

Addendum: An interesting related post by Darin can be found here.

Addendum 2: I wrote more about why current success in AI doesn’t imply that AGI is right around the corner, and why, even if I’m wrong and we do develop AGI, it won’t save the world as many hope, here.

My Take on Superstition

In this small write-up I will be presupposing parts of a worldview that most analytic types will probably find questionable. I will not be attempting to justify these presuppositions, so you’ll just have to take my word for it. I am, after all, a genius.

This was my answer to the question, “Do you believe in superstition?”, on the late kiwi.qa:

I don’t believe that “step on a crack, break your mother’s back” and things like that are true because we live in some kind of Harry Potter universe where words and actions have their own inherent magical meanings, but I believe that whatever superstition you believe in has power just because you believe it. And I don’t mean that in the physicalist/rationalized way where it affects your psychology which in turn affects how you physically interact with the world which in turn affects the consequences you reap—I mean it has this power directly.

I also think that we can have subconscious beliefs about the significance of things or subconscious reactions to certain things or situations that we have easy way of controlling and that can have an effect on what happens just as much as a conscious belief, so certain “superstitious” things can appear to us to be true independently of our attitude toward them, and therefore it could be (relatively) prudent (for plebs at least) to consider those superstitions as if they were objectively true as if in some Harry-Potter-universe sense.

An example would be how walking under a ladder is considered bad luck. Well, if you walk under a ladder, you feel like you’re just tempting fate; you analytically feel as though it should be safe because what are the chances that the something will happen right while you’re under it, but emotionally you feel otherwise, and that can manifest in negative consequences.

Or perhaps it’s not even solely about personal belief in that case. Maybe, because the universe is actually one large mesh of interacting entities with minds and therefore behaves largely according to psychological principles, the powers that be interpret your walking under the ladder as being cavalier and daring, even though to your mind it’s just rational and efficient, and that causes the consequences of doing something cavalier and daring. This, of course, opens up a whole new arena of consideration w.r.t. the meaning of or metaphysics behind the possible legitimacy of superstitions as such.